Welcome guys, I’m Nico, someone of you already know me, in last 2 months I started to share my picks with you on the site. I’m a professional sports trader, I live in Paris and I work for the main bookmaker of France. I’m from Italy so I have always followed very closely many leagues in Europe, from Italian leagues to French leagues and also Champions League and Europa League but also I follow very very closely basketball. We had some very nice picks in last weeks, mainly on the basketball World Cup, and in ten days finally we will have back the best league in the world: the NBA.
As you kknow NBA is the best league in the world. All the best players from Europe, from China and from the NCAA dream to play in the NBA. Today we are here because I will give you some advices on how analyze an NBA match and I will tell you also some tricks I use in my job.
When we analyze a NBA match we have to focus mainly on 4 important different factors: injuries and rotations, team schedule, statistics and the general betting.
We will start with injuries and rotations. In my opinion this is the main factor when we start to analyze a match. Every morning the NBA teams release an injury report where we can find some news about the team. When some players are questionable or out for the match of the night we can find some values in the odds. To grab this value we have to be very fast because the bookmakers will wait for this injury report to change the odds and to drop it. If you are very fast you can grab some big values. In the start of the season we won’t have many teams who will rest many players, because everyone is focus, want to have some results, have also to impress the fans, but after the All-Star games everyday you will find some values in the odds following the injury reports. Mainly because some teams are already qualified to NBA playoffs, so they prefer to rest players to avoid injuries and also to rest players before big matches or also other teams who haven’t playoff ambitions will start to tank to have a better choice in next NBA draft, so they will start to lose matches, to give more chances to young players and rest some more experienced players.